Thursday, September 29, 2011

ESPN Baseball Expert Fantasy League Update

"A handy reminder: In March, all 45 of ESPN’s baseball experts picked the Red Sox to win the AL East." - Deadspin on Twitter.

Why yes they did!

So, the least relevant question we need to answer from these picks is… which expert is the best at predicting the future. So here’s the chart

For those of you opposed to counting, 38 experts had the Red Sox winning the World Series. But only one expert went 1 for 8 at picking playoff teams (David Schoenfield).

Short points system explanation:

If the expert got the divisional/wild card pick correct, they got 20 points. If they picked a wild card who won their division, they got 5 points in compensation. If they picked a division winner who lost the division, their point total varied from -5 for a 2nd place team to -20 for a 5th place team. And Steve Berthiaume got -25 for his Astros pick. And for the Wild Cards, the range for picking a wild card who missed the playoffs went from minus 2 for the first runnerup to minus 14 for the guys who had the Rockies as the Wildcard.

Also included was a potential points category. 250 potential points for an expert whose NLCS pick is still in the playoffs. 500 potential points for an expert whose World Series pick is still in the playoffs.

Who’s gonna win the Experts Pool?

  • Keith Law wins if the World Series is between the Tigers or Rangers and the Cardinals or Diamondbacks.
  • If the Phillies win the World Series over the Yankees, Tristan Cockcroft wins.
  • If the Yankees go to the World Series at all, Tristan Cockcroft wins.
  • If the Phillies win the World Series over the Rays, Eric Karabell wins.
  • If the Rays go to the World Series at all, Eric Karabell wins.
  • If the Phillies win the World Series over the Rangers or Tigers, Richard Durrett wins.
  • If the Rangers or Tigers defeat the Phillies, Richard Durrett and Jayson Stark win.
  • If the Brewers go the World Series, Jonah Keri wins.

In other words, this is your NCAA bracket pool in a year where the top half of the bracket is decimated by the Sweet 16 (a.k.a. 2011). Picked six months ago by some of the finest minds available to ESPN.

It’s wide open right now!

(I have too much free time on my hands)